- The ECB revised its macro outlook significantly down and even continues to see the activity risks on the downside.
- At today’s meeting the ECB stepped up its forward guidance. It now expects rates to remain at current levels “at least through the end of 2019”.
- It also announced a series of seven new quarterly TLTROs starting in September with 2Y maturity but as less favourable conditions than for the last TLTROs.
- Today’s ECB decisions are a moderate positive for equities as well as credits and will dampen the rise in core government bond yields in 2019.